← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Fri, Mar 13, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bursaspor win | 69% | 70% | 1.41 | fair |
| Draw | 19% | 19% | 5.16 | fair |
| Balikesirspor win | 12% | 12% | 8.32 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bursaspor | Balikesirspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 285.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1660.79 | 1453.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.09 | -14.52 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| league points | 38.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 0.65 |
| state index | 0.61 | -0.88 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |