← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Sun, Mar 8, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 41% | 44% | 2.38 | value: +5% |
| Sivasspor win | 31% | 29% | 3.19 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | 3.45 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 97.00 | 645.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1573.90 | 1726.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.05 | -6.43 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| league points | 24.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 2.18 |
| state index | 0.50 | 0.75 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |