← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Sun, Mar 8, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 55% | 42% | 1.76 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 31% | 3.63 | value: +13% |
| Gaziantep win | 18% | 27% | 5.49 | value: +46% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kardemir Karabukspor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 608.00 | 219.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1519.04 | 1502.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.45 | -37.15 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 17.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.77 | 1.23 |
| state index | -0.67 | -0.68 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |