← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Sat, Mar 7, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rizespor win | 40% | 42% | 2.45 | fair |
| Balikesirspor win | 32% | 30% | 3.07 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 3.43 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Balikesirspor | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 96.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1453.64 | 1516.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.46 | 16.18 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 14.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.64 | 0.95 |
| state index | -0.84 | 0.13 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |