← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Mon, Mar 2, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 54% | 55% | 1.81 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | 3.87 | fair |
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 21% | 19% | 4.65 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Kardemir Karabukspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 121.00 | 602.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1657.68 | 1523.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.20 | -22.51 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| league points | 34.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 0.81 |
| state index | 0.96 | -0.64 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |