← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Sun, Mar 1, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasimpasa win | 38% | 37% | 2.54 | fair |
| Gaziantep win | 33% | 34% | 2.93 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 3.46 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gaziantep | Kasimpasa |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 212.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1517.58 | 1567.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.06 | -41.95 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.64 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| league points | 27.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.19 |
| state index | -0.51 | -0.78 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |