← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sun, May 18, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasimpasa win | 52% | 39% | 1.86 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 29% | 4.06 | value: +16% |
| Akhisarspor win | 24% | 33% | 4.13 | value: +35% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Akhisarspor | Kasimpasa |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 990.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1567.91 | 1616.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.57 | 26.04 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| league points | 44.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.45 |
| state index | 0.06 | 0.58 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |