← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sun, May 11, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 63% | 54% | 1.56 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 23% | 4.95 | value: +16% |
| Akhisarspor win | 18% | 23% | 5.55 | value: +27% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Akhisarspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 222.00 | 983.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1601.78 | 1579.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.66 | 16.32 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| league points | 50.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.38 |
| state index | 0.73 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |