← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sun, May 11, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erciyesspor win | 59% | 31% | 1.66 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 31% | 4.13 | value: +28% |
| Bursaspor win | 18% | 38% | 5.55 | value: +110% ⚠ |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erciyesspor | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 283.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1510.57 | 1601.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.29 | 4.55 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| league points | 36.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.31 |
| state index | 0.34 | 0.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |