← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sat, May 10, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genclerbirligi win | 56% | 48% | 1.73 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 29% | 3.99 | value: +16% |
| Antalyaspor win | 19% | 23% | 5.09 | value: +18% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genclerbirligi | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 221.00 | 70.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1585.98 | 1488.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.21 | -37.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 44.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| state index | 0.23 | -1.43 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |