← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sun, May 4, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 55% | 54% | 1.79 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 25% | 4.27 | value: +6% |
| Akhisarspor win | 23% | 21% | 4.34 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Akhisarspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 976.00 | 307.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1558.05 | 1775.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.16 | -4.33 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 41.00 | 68.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 2.19 |
| state index | -0.20 | 0.91 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |