← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sat, May 3, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor win | 51% | 50% | 1.93 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 28% | 3.73 | value: +6% |
| Elazigspor win | 23% | 22% | 4.20 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antalyaspor | Elazigspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 63.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1500.69 | 1483.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.67 | -13.47 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 28.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| state index | -1.36 | -0.57 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |