← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sun, Apr 27, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 40% | 43% | 2.43 | value: +3% |
| Sivasspor win | 33% | 32% | 2.94 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 26% | 3.66 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 208.00 | 330.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1581.39 | 1706.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.08 | -2.56 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| league points | 46.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.83 |
| state index | 0.55 | 0.59 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |