← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sat, Apr 26, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 59% | 55% | 1.65 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 27% | 4.26 | value: +14% |
| Gaziantep win | 18% | 18% | 5.48 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 452.00 | 56.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1642.01 | 1542.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.34 | -43.23 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| league points | 46.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.20 |
| state index | 0.90 | -0.68 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |