← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Mon, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 49% | 35% | 1.99 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 34% | 3.40 | value: +16% |
| Eskisehirspor win | 22% | 31% | 4.36 | value: +37% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kardemir Karabukspor | Eskisehirspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 287.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1570.04 | 1596.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.13 | -8.89 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| league points | 42.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.34 |
| state index | 0.18 | -0.13 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |