← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sat, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray win | 45% | 52% | 2.18 | value: +13% |
| Draw | 30% | 25% | 3.23 | fair |
| Sivasspor win | 25% | 23% | 3.89 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Galatasaray |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 193.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1556.73 | 1782.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.10 | -11.79 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 2.31 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| league points | 40.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.89 |
| state index | -0.25 | 0.87 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |