← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sat, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 55% | 44% | 1.78 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 30% | 3.60 | value: +8% |
| Akhisarspor win | 18% | 26% | 5.43 | value: +40% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kardemir Karabukspor | Akhisarspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 278.00 | 954.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1588.69 | 1562.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.21 | -34.46 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 42.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.32 |
| state index | 0.47 | -0.77 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |