← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Mon, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 52% | 52% | 1.87 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 27% | 3.59 | fair |
| Genclerbirligi win | 21% | 20% | 4.73 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 433.00 | 188.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1611.28 | 1587.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.15 | 39.51 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 39.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.96 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.37 |
| state index | 0.25 | 0.66 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |