← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sun, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray win | 42% | 48% | 2.34 | value: +11% |
| Fenerbahce win | 31% | 25% | 3.13 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 27% | 3.59 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Galatasaray | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 279.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1773.38 | 1787.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.17 | 40.21 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| league points | 50.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.96 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 2.33 |
| state index | 0.84 | 1.61 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |