← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sun, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bursaspor win | 54% | 52% | 1.81 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | 3.97 | fair |
| Sivasspor win | 21% | 23% | 4.56 | value: +3% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bursaspor | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 248.00 | 187.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1597.25 | 1564.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -44.36 | -43.77 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 34.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.96 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.48 |
| state index | -0.34 | -0.57 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |