← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sat, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rizespor win | 36% | 44% | 2.69 | value: +19% |
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 34% | 25% | 2.86 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | 3.31 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rizespor | Kardemir Karabukspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 339.00 | 271.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1499.75 | 1579.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.35 | -0.56 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| league points | 30.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 7.96 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.44 |
| state index | 0.34 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |