← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sat, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akhisarspor win | 36% | 35% | 2.72 | fair |
| Eskisehirspor win | 33% | 33% | 2.92 | fair |
| Draw | 31% | 32% | 3.16 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Akhisarspor | Eskisehirspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 947.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1563.11 | 1596.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.85 | -16.93 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| league points | 36.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.37 |
| state index | -0.51 | -0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |