← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Mon, Mar 31, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 69% | 62% | 1.41 | fair |
| Draw | 19% | 23% | 5.03 | value: +17% |
| Bursaspor win | 11% | 15% | 8.60 | value: +31% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 273.00 | 242.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1779.83 | 1604.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.69 | -30.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| league points | 60.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 8.96 |
| season ppg | 2.31 | 1.31 |
| state index | 1.65 | -0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.20 |