← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Mon, Mar 31, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eskisehirspor win | 48% | 47% | 2.01 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 30% | 3.40 | value: +3% |
| Genclerbirligi win | 23% | 22% | 4.27 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eskisehirspor | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 181.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1609.32 | 1574.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.52 | 23.98 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| league points | 37.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.96 | 7.96 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.31 |
| state index | 0.40 | 0.46 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |