← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sat, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray win | 55% | 49% | 1.78 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | 3.81 | fair |
| Konyaspor win | 20% | 24% | 4.99 | value: +19% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Konyaspor | Galatasaray |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1793.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1508.15 | 1778.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.30 | -15.43 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 2.30 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| league points | 31.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.88 |
| state index | -0.05 | 0.81 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |