← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sat, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akhisarspor win | 47% | 50% | 2.07 | value: +4% |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 3.63 | fair |
| Rizespor win | 26% | 22% | 3.74 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Akhisarspor | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 940.00 | 332.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1577.21 | 1485.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.82 | 20.96 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| league points | 36.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.04 |
| state index | -0.16 | -0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |