← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Fri, Mar 28, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasimpasa win | 48% | 65% | 2.02 | value: +31% ⚠ |
| Draw | 27% | 22% | 3.55 | fair |
| Erciyesspor win | 24% | 13% | 4.00 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kasimpasa | Erciyesspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1578.54 | 1494.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.75 | 43.08 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| league points | 36.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| state index | 0.11 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |