← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Fri, Mar 28, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 41% | 42% | 2.38 | fair |
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 32% | 30% | 3.08 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 3.56 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kardemir Karabukspor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 263.00 | 300.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1566.67 | 1718.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.40 | -1.92 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| league points | 36.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.92 |
| state index | -0.38 | 0.77 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |