← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Mon, Mar 24, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 57% | 49% | 1.71 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 26% | 3.98 | value: +4% |
| Gaziantep win | 19% | 25% | 5.26 | value: +33% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gaziantep | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 23.00 | 266.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1585.42 | 1768.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.24 | 20.22 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 35.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 2.28 |
| state index | 0.23 | 1.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |