← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sun, Mar 23, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erciyesspor win | 52% | 29% | 1.89 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | 3.77 | fair |
| Sivasspor win | 23% | 44% | 4.30 | value: +90% ⚠ |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erciyesspor | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 173.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1494.92 | 1555.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 67.11 | -69.83 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| league points | 25.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.44 |
| state index | 0.66 | -1.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |