← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sat, Mar 22, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rizespor win | 38% | 33% | 2.55 | fair |
| Eskisehirspor win | 32% | 36% | 3.04 | value: +8% |
| Draw | 30% | 32% | 3.30 | value: +4% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rizespor | Eskisehirspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 325.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1483.73 | 1611.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 42.00 | -4.03 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| league points | 26.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.44 |
| state index | 0.29 | 0.07 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |