← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sat, Mar 22, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray win | 77% | 71% | 1.27 | fair |
| Draw | 16% | 20% | 6.25 | value: +26% |
| Kayserispor win | 8% | 9% | 12.50 | value: +16% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Galatasaray | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 80.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1796.49 | 1502.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.92 | -8.03 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| league points | 49.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.96 | 0.76 |
| state index | 1.31 | -0.45 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.00 |