← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sat, Mar 22, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor win | 41% | 45% | 2.40 | value: +8% |
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 31% | 26% | 3.14 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 29% | 3.48 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antalyaspor | Kardemir Karabukspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 21.00 | 257.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1540.35 | 1565.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.35 | -27.88 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| league points | 26.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.40 |
| state index | -0.39 | -0.49 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |