← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sun, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 37% | 41% | 2.61 | value: +7% |
| Trabzonspor win | 34% | 32% | 2.87 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 27% | 3.41 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 166.00 | 411.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1576.30 | 1594.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.58 | -25.61 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 36.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.42 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |