← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sun, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eskisehirspor win | 57% | 60% | 1.72 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 3.79 | fair |
| Elazigspor win | 18% | 16% | 5.50 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eskisehirspor | Elazigspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1605.37 | 1512.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.28 | 59.15 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| league points | 33.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| state index | -0.15 | 0.59 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |