← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sat, Mar 15, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasimpasa win | 56% | 52% | 1.74 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | 3.97 | value: +3% |
| Genclerbirligi win | 19% | 22% | 5.10 | value: +12% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kasimpasa | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 165.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1588.46 | 1551.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.69 | -19.98 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| league points | 35.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.17 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |