← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Fri, Mar 14, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray win | 53% | 50% | 1.83 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 28% | 3.69 | value: +3% |
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 20% | 22% | 4.84 | value: +8% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kardemir Karabukspor | Galatasaray |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 249.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1560.91 | 1801.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.24 | 9.23 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 2.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| league points | 34.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 2.00 |
| state index | -0.17 | 1.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |