← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sat, Mar 8, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray win | 75% | 66% | 1.29 | fair |
| Draw | 16% | 22% | 6.15 | value: +36% |
| Akhisarspor win | 9% | 12% | 11.14 | value: +34% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Galatasaray | Akhisarspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 919.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1793.84 | 1596.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.76 | 18.17 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| league points | 45.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.96 | 1.52 |
| state index | 1.57 | 0.51 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |