← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sun, Mar 2, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konyaspor win | 42% | 38% | 2.30 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | 3.38 | fair |
| Trabzonspor win | 29% | 34% | 3.39 | value: +17% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Konyaspor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1766.00 | 397.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1510.73 | 1609.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.34 | -14.57 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| league points | 27.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.50 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |