← Süper Lig 2013-14 · Sat, Mar 1, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 53% | 45% | 1.85 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 29% | 3.74 | value: +8% |
| Gaziantep win | 21% | 26% | 4.56 | value: +18% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kardemir Karabukspor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 236.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1579.81 | 1557.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.60 | -17.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| league points | 34.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.18 |
| state index | 0.46 | -0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |