← Süper Lig 2012-13 · Sat, May 18, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akhisarspor win | 42% | 30% | 2.31 | fair |
| Draw | 31% | 34% | 3.13 | value: +6% |
| Orduspor win | 27% | 36% | 3.67 | value: +32% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Orduspor | Akhisarspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 625.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1474.26 | 1545.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -44.96 | 37.59 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| league points | 29.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.18 |
| state index | -1.30 | 0.47 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |