← Süper Lig 2012-13 · Sat, May 11, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor win | 60% | 46% | 1.63 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 30% | 4.25 | value: +27% |
| Orduspor win | 17% | 24% | 5.68 | value: +37% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antalyaspor | Orduspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1652.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1545.45 | 1480.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.78 | -46.75 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 44.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 0.91 |
| state index | 0.20 | -1.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |