← Süper Lig 2012-13 · Sat, Apr 27, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 45% | 41% | 2.17 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 3.49 | fair |
| Buyuksehyr win | 27% | 31% | 3.59 | value: +11% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Buyuksehyr |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 939.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1560.81 | 1538.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.86 | -26.34 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| league points | 37.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.10 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.58 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |