← Süper Lig 2012-13 · Sun, Apr 14, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep win | 40% | 39% | 2.45 | fair |
| Kayserispor win | 31% | 30% | 3.17 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 31% | 3.31 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gaziantep | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 72.00 | 195.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1604.65 | 1588.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.69 | -11.17 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 36.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.39 |
| state index | 0.43 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |