← Süper Lig 2012-13 · Sat, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray win | 69% | 69% | 1.41 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 21% | 4.90 | fair |
| Mersin Idman Yurdu win | 11% | 10% | 9.05 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Galatasaray | Mersin Idman Yurdu |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1766.77 | 1468.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.99 | -28.81 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| league points | 53.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.96 | 0.78 |
| state index | 1.25 | -1.03 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |