← Süper Lig 2012-13 · Sun, Mar 31, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 49% | 54% | 2.00 | value: +7% |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | 3.51 | fair |
| Antalyaspor win | 24% | 20% | 4.09 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 61.00 | 1611.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1608.43 | 1551.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.83 | -12.06 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| league points | 31.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 15.96 | 13.96 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.42 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |