← Süper Lig 2012-13 · Sat, Mar 30, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 48% | 42% | 2.04 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 30% | 3.54 | value: +7% |
| Orduspor win | 25% | 27% | 3.95 | value: +8% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Orduspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 911.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1558.12 | 1535.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.61 | -20.91 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| league points | 32.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.12 |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.41 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |