← Süper Lig 2012-13 · Sun, Mar 17, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orduspor win | 43% | 35% | 2.29 | fair |
| Gaziantep win | 29% | 28% | 3.40 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 37% | 3.41 | value: +25% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Orduspor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1546.01 | 1578.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.97 | 0.62 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| league points | 29.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.16 |
| state index | -0.01 | 0.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |