← Süper Lig 2012-13 · Sun, Mar 17, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 48% | 49% | 2.02 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | 3.74 | fair |
| Antalyaspor win | 26% | 24% | 3.80 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antalyaspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1597.00 | 228.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1558.39 | 1742.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.43 | 29.81 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 37.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.72 |
| state index | 0.13 | 1.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |