← Süper Lig 2012-13 · Fri, Mar 15, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eskisehirspor win | 62% | 59% | 1.57 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 26% | 4.07 | value: +8% |
| Elazigspor win | 14% | 14% | 7.03 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eskisehirspor | Elazigspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1619.21 | 1452.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.09 | 27.46 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| league points | 35.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.05 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |